India stands at a historic moment. The country has scaled up its economic size, achieved global recognition in services and delivered groundbreaking innovations like the India Stack. Yet the future will not be shaped by size or past successes alone. In a world where nations are valued for the technologies they create, India must now focus on building ecosystems of innovation that are resilient, sovereign and globally indispensable. This is the essence of the journey toward Viksit Bharat.
The next phase requires a fundamental shift in mindset. For decades, India’s strength has been as the “job shop” of the world—offering cost arbitrage in IT services, back-office functions and manufacturing. This model helped create millions of jobs, but it cannot carry the nation into the future. The middle-income trap looms closer than ever, accelerated by robotics and artificial intelligence. Countries that rely on cheap labor as their competitive edge soon find themselves undercut by new technologies or by nations with even lower costs. To break free, India must stop aspiring to be the world’s back office and instead become a hub for producing technologies that others depend on.
Global relevance no longer comes from GDP rankings alone. The real test is whether a country can produce technologies that the world needs but cannot easily replicate. Consider the case of Taiwan. Foxconn, the manufacturing giant, is far larger in revenue terms than TSMC, the semiconductor leader. Yet, when the West speaks of defending Taiwan, it is not Foxconn’s assembly lines they care about—it is TSMC’s critical role in the global technology supply chain. The lesson is simple: services can create jobs and scale, but ecosystems that nurture world-class product companies create power.
India’s record in building services firms is impressive—telecom operators, banks, airlines and hospitals are proof of this strength. But the next challenge lies in creating product companies backed by supportive ecosystems. Here, India has one advantage: it knows how to innovate differently. The success of the India Stack is a striking example. Despite accounting for just 3% of global trade and 7% of global GDP, India drives more than 50% of the world’s digital transactions. This extraordinary leap was possible because of an architectural choice—building interoperable, open and inclusive digital public infrastructure.
What India needs now is to replicate such breakthroughs across sectors. That requires what experts describe as the Triple Helix model: research, policy and markets working in concert. Research generates new knowledge, policymakers design enabling frameworks and markets provide the capital and demand to scale innovations. When these three strands twist together, they form resilient ecosystems capable of withstanding shocks and competing globally.
History has shown that even superior products can fail without strong ecosystems. Nokia lost its dominance not because it built poor phones but because Apple created an ecosystem around the iPhone that was far more powerful. The same logic applies at the national level. For India to lead in fields like quantum computing, artificial intelligence and green technologies, it must ensure that researchers, regulators and markets act in unison.
Among India’s cities, Bengaluru has already taken significant steps in this direction. With its concentration of research institutions, technology companies and entrepreneurial talent, the city is positioned as the research and innovation hub of the country. It has proven that bottom-up innovation, combined with supportive digital infrastructure, can create breakthroughs. The culture of collaboration between startups, academia and global players in Bengaluru offers a blueprint for how India can scale ecosystems in other sectors.
Yet ecosystems cannot be built on research strength alone. They require policy vision and market participation. This is where Delhi and Mumbai must step up.
Delhi, as the policy-making capital, plays a critical role in shaping India’s innovation trajectory. But bureaucracy, by its very design, focuses on stability and compliance. While this has served the country well in maintaining order and continuity, it is not suited to driving moonshots. Transformative projects—whether in space, nuclear energy, or digital infrastructure—have historically succeeded in India because they were led by technocrats, not administrators.
For India to achieve its next wave of breakthroughs, Delhi must empower technocrats who are capable of thinking big, taking risks and driving change. Bureaucrats remain essential as stabilisers, but when it comes to cutting-edge innovation, the mantle must pass to those who combine vision with technical expertise. Encouragingly, India’s experience with the India Stack shows that when policy frameworks and technological capabilities align, change can happen at scale. The challenge is to institutionalise this approach rather than leaving it to exceptional cases.
If Delhi must evolve in how it frames policy, Mumbai must transform how it views markets and investments. The city is home to India’s most profitable corporations, many of which reported profits exceeding $10 billion in the last financial year. Yet their collective investment in R&D remains just 0.1%—far below the global average of 2% or more. For India to become a hub of innovation, corporate India must see research and development not as a cost but as the engine of future growth.
The opportunity is enormous. Even modest increases in corporate R&D investment would unleash capacity across sectors—from clean energy and health tech to semiconductors and quantum research. Mumbai’s markets can provide not just capital but also the validation and demand that turn research ideas into globally competitive products. A mindset shift here could transform India’s innovation landscape as dramatically as Bengaluru’s rise did for services.
The path forward is neither to retreat into old-style Swadeshi isolationism nor to rely excessively on foreign global capability centers. True digital sovereignty requires building strategic value chains at home, nurturing indigenous innovation and enabling researchers to become entrepreneurs. This does not mean rejecting global partnerships, but rather ensuring that India develops the critical capabilities that protect its long-term interests.
Innovation in India has often thrived through bottom-up energy, driven by volunteers, startups and researchers rather than top-down mandates. Respecting and enabling this culture will be essential. By creating spaces where local talent can flourish and by aligning policy and market incentives, India can ensure that its path to sovereignty is rooted in inclusivity and resilience.
The good news is that India today has the confidence to dream big. The aspiration to become a developed nation by 2047 is not just rhetoric; it has become a shared national goal. This closing of the “aspiration deficit” is itself a transformative step. Once a nation gives itself permission to dream, it unleashes forces of change that can alter its trajectory.
The challenge now is to translate aspiration into action. Bengaluru has shown readiness. Delhi and Mumbai must rise to match it. If research, policy and markets come together in the spirit of the Triple Helix, India will not only avoid the middle-income trap but also establish itself as a sovereign, innovative power shaping the technologies of the future.
The journey to Viksit Bharat will not be easy, but it is within reach. The way forward lies in collaboration, in unlearning old habits and in embracing ecosystems over silos. The Triple Helix model offers the framework; India’s talent and ambition provide the fuel.
Bengaluru has already lit the torch. With Delhi and Mumbai joining hands, India can ensure that its next leap is not forced by crisis but chosen by design. That would be the truest measure of sovereignty, innovation and confidence for a nation ready to lead.
* This content is AI generated. It is suggested to read the full transcript for any furthur clarity.
Thank you so much. First of all I was very happy to see Venkata because I am in my Bangalore clothes now I can say I'm in more my tech clothes. We are certainly more. You know, we are underdressed compared to many of you. You know, I want to talk about the sovereign part and I think Sameer requested me to cover that as briefly as possible.
You know, I want to tell you about in a way about not his current book but his future book. I don't know what he'll call it but let's assume for a moment he calls it Modinomics 3.0. What would that be about? I think it will be a significant departure from what is happening today. We are in the midst of a nonlinear change. And things are as a country will have to change very significantly. And if they don't, we'll be relegated to the sidelines in geopolitics. We won't be able to grow as an economy.
So what are these changes that are upon us? And I wanted to share that with you now. Indication. And I'll talk about 10 new buzzwords that you can keep in mind. And then a few years from now you can tell me whether these 10 buzzwords which are not important today become important in the future. And if they do then you can remember me. Otherwise you can forget me as we go forward.
So the first is that there is going to be less emphasis on the size of the economy. We will have to talk about structure of the economy. Why is this important? I'll take you back to 2008. You know, G20 was created in the aftermath of the big recession that took place, the Great Recession. And there was one person who was involved in selecting the countries for G20. His name is Larry Summers. He describes this in his book and in many talks. He's down to the last country and last slot and two countries. And he asks himself, which one can I keep? So he frames the question and says, which of these two countries supply technology that the rest of the world cares for?
So he asks about the first country. He says, big economy, but gosh, all that they give to the rest of the world is olive oil. Doesn't matter. Second country, he says, hey, nuclear submarines, commercial planes, nuclear plants, and so on and so forth. And these two countries are Spain and France. They're roughly the same size in economic power, but one is in G20, the other is not. And today, if I ask you a question, who will Trump treat better, Canada or Korea? What do you think? How many of you think it is Canada or how many of you think it's Korea? It's Korea. Because in his mind, what does Canada offer? Lumber, labor for auto parts. He doesn't need any of that. What does Korea offer? Technology.
So we as a country will be treated based on our ability to produce technology that the rest of the world needs. If they already have it, they don't care for it, but distinctive technology that the rest of the world needs. So I hope as technologists, two technologists on this stage, you will forgive us for our dress. You know, I think we need that to make the new India happen.
Second, is that why is this important? Because we are about to hit a roadblock. And I know this is a very unpopular thing to say in Delhi. Delhi likes positive messages and this is not a positive message. Back 25 years ago, there was this concept that was introduced by Indermit Singh Gill, who is currently the Chief Economist of World Bank, called the Middle Income Trap. And you can actually see this playing out with Thailand as we speak. And you know, how many of you been to Vietnam for a holiday? See, I see some hands going up. Vietnam is gaining market share for everything because people say, why not get it done in Vietnam where the PPP per capita income is 11,000 versus Thailand, where PPP per capita income is 18,000. If I am going to get the same results, why not go to a cheaper place, right?
So we know this is a phenomena that has taken place in Latin America for what I call as LATAM 8, 25 years ago and none of those eight countries were able to break through the middle income trap. India is going to hit this middle income trap in five to seven years because this used to happen at roughly about $10,000 per capita. Not GDP and PPP but nominal per capita per capita. But now is going to happen much sooner because of robotics and AI. AI makes it, you know, you hit the gap much sooner.
Now we this is related to the first point because to get to that point, to middle income trap, you should be the job. You should be the job shop of the world. You say, hey, don't manufacture auto parts in your own country. I'll do them for you better, right? And I'll do, I am a BPO. I'll give you labor arbitrage when it comes to IT services. You are essentially knocker of the world. And what Trump and others have done has said, if you are a knocker, you can't sit on the same table as me, right? This is what we told Pakistan since 2014. We never let them sit on our table. This is what China is doing to us now because we are not in the same league. We don't have a path to be able to cross the job shop mindset that we have.
And as we look back, one of the biggest handicaps that we have in our country is that we started thinking that if we are the job shop of the world, if we are the back office of the world, somehow we will become a prosperous country. Many of us knew that is never going to be the case. But many of you thought that would be the case. Unfortunately, this was the prevailing wisdom in Delhi and continues to be the prevailing wisdom in Delhi. So we'll have to give this up as we go forward. We will have to find a way to overcome the middle income trap. Otherwise we will not be a viable economy as we go forward.
So this means that we have to focus on things that people want from us. Not job shop products, not services. And the products ecosystem is a very, very different ecosystem than anything else. Let me ask you a question. How many of you know about Foxconn, right? How many of you know about TSMC? 1 is roughly 12 times bigger than the other by revenue. Which one is big by revenue? Yes. Foxconn. The other is bigger by profits. Which one is bigger by profits? TSMC by market cap. Also, who do you think the West is? Which company motivates the West to say we will save you Taiwan from becoming part of China? Foxconn. No, they don't care a **** about Foxconn. It's about TSMC.
Right now we know how to build Foxconn type companies in India. We can build hospitals, IndiGo Airlines, Jio and Airtel as mobile operators, good banks. These are all services players. And I'm glad we are able to do that because that's one place where we can employ people. There's no harm about this. We should not be ashamed of being able to do that. But being able to do that doesn't account for very much in modern economy. What accounts for is our ability to build viable product companies. And building viable product companies and the ecosystem that supports it is fundamentally different from building viable services companies. And this is something that we will have to internalize here again in the policy making capital of the country. We will have to internalize this change in a very, very big way.
Now, is this possible? Of course it is possible. You know, today. Let me ask you another trick question. We are 3% of global trade. We are 7 to 8% of global economy. On nominal basis, we are 17 to 18% of global population. What is our proportion of global digital transactions? Are they more than 17% or less than 17%? How many of you think it's more than 17%? Alright, so many people believe so. Is it 34% or is it 51%? 51%.
Why is this the case? Why does an economy contribute to more than half of the global digital transactions of the world despite being only 17% of the population, 7% of the economy and 3% of global trade? Because the architecture of our digital system is completely different. It's called India Stack. And what it does is that it creates building blocks for flow of people, flow of money and flow of information. A reference to DPDP Act was made which is part of flow of information. But these are all techno-legal implementations. DPDP Act is important and don't misunderstand me, but more important is the tech counterpart of it, which most of you may not even have heard, called DEPA—Data Empowerment and Protection Architecture. In India, the magic happens when DEPA and DPDP work together. It's called techno-legal regulation, right?
And so. So? So the fact of the matter is that the ecosystem, in the battle of ecosystems that we are, we are engaged in when we want to build product companies. If you want a successful quantum company out of India, which is going to be relevant in the world, then we have to create an ecosystem. The battle is not of volume one company versus the other. It is a battle of an ecosystem versus the other. How many of you have an iPhone here and I can bet all of you at one day had a Nokia phone. And Nokia was defeated not because it was a poorer phone, it was defeated because the ecosystem of iPhone was superior to the ecosystem of Nokia.
And so we have to learn how to build something called ecosystems. They are called Triple Helix ecosystems. Because in this Triple Helix ecosystem, the most important part of the helix is called research. Researchers like Venkata, who has how many citations, how many papers, how many patents, right? And it is the researchers coming together with market players and policymakers acting, acting in concert. We are starting to do this right on the back of some of the India Stack success. What we have had success in telecom. We are beginning to get our playbook right in this fashion. But this is a very, very different, different animal from the animal that we've had so far. So one of the buzzwords, I don't know how many buzzwords I've already mentioned, probably four or five, but one of them is that you must have a Triple Helix kind of a model battle of ecosystems is what we need.
Can we do this? It'll be difficult. Very, very difficult. Can we do this without a humbling. That's the real challenge before us. Because if we are humbled like we were in ’91, ’92, of course we will be woken up into do this. There's little or no doubt, you know, we'll get a punch in the stomach and we'll be forced to adopt this. The question is, can we do this without a punch in our stomach? And that is hard. Why is it hard? Because I think Delhi, Bangalore and Mumbai to come together. Bangalore for research, Delhi for policy making, and Mumbai for its market activity. We have to have all the three coming together today.
You know, Bangalore is ready in my opinion. And I can say I can be critical of Delhi because I grew up in Delhi, my father was in the civil service. So I can afford to criticize Delhi because it's my old city, not my new city. But I think Bangalore is ready. Is Delhi ready? No, not at all. Is Mumbai ready? What do you think? How many of you think Mumbai is ready? Market is ready? No. Last financial year for the first time, we had five companies which had over $10 billion of profits. Now this is significant. General Electric, whose engines, you know, populate the planes that are getting delayed in Europe because of the cybersecurity attack, had only $7.8 billion profits. So $10 billion profit is no mean achievement.
So this is Adani, Ambani, Tatas, ICICI Bank—not ICIC—HDFC Bank and SBI. Two banks, three companies, their combined spend on R&D, 0.1%. And you can humor me. You can go to Fortune 500, organize the list by profitability, look at only companies above $10 billion profit and then remove these five and then reorder it by spend on R&D. Remove these five companies. The next company that you will see has an R&D investment of 2.1%. There's not even average. This is the next number. So if you have to be viable, our big players have to learn to not double their investment in R&D. Increase their investment by 21 times. It requires a mindset shift which is as big as the mindset shift that you need here in Delhi. Right.
So will that happen without a sock in the stomach? If there's sock in the stomach, I can assure you this will happen. But will this happen without sock in the stomach? That depends on you. That depends on these conversations that you are having. Because if you can't galvanize this kind of a change because of these conversations, what's the point of having these conversations? Right. So that's the other stuff that you need.
Then of course, you know, we are living this as we speak. That even if we get our act together, in fact everything that we have done, whether it's space, it is nuclear, it's the green revolution. More recently is India Stack. What's happened on the telecom side, even the Metro rail. All of these have been done by technocrats, not bureaucrats. How many of you in the room who are bureaucrats? You have to learn to work under technocrats. Because all these changes are moonshot changes. There is nowhere in the world a moonshot. A Manhattan Project happens inside bureaucracy.
Because you've been trained to provide stability. It's not your job to do moonshots. Nowhere in the world does it happen like that. You know, The Atlantic had a very wonderful article. They said China will win over the US because China populates its projects with technocrats. And the US populates it with techno legal people, legal and technology people coming together. And you know, internet was flooded because in India we populate them with bureaucrats. It's not just possible at all.
One day they won't let me come to Delhi because I make it a point. To mention this all the time is just not possible. Luckily our quantum effort is run by a technocrat, Ajay Chaudhary. You know, our AI effort is run by a bureaucrat. And Abhishek is one of my favorite bureaucrats. 10 out of 10 if I was to give him right. But I'll tell you what the difference is when something has to be done, let's say it costs 30 crores to do it. And Ajay Chaudhary says we are going to spend 30 crores and everybody around him says 3 crores. What do you think his reaction is? He said no, no, we want to find a way to make it happen. If you're a bureaucrat, what do you say? Because you are a system complier, that's the best innovation that you can bring to the table.
Now that's not because you're a bad person, you're not intelligent. But that's the training that has been given to them. And we need a stabilizing force in our society. Otherwise India would not have existed the way it exists today. I think our bureaucracy kept the country together because it did act as a steel frame in the early years. But we have to know what, what power to use where for the change that has to happen. And this is a very, very difficult change that we will have to do. I hope our politicians support it, our bureaucrats support it and then it happens.
And much of this in any case is not top down, is bottoms up. India Stack is not top down. I can tell you because India Stack came from iceberg. It's not top down, it's volunteers that it bottoms-up. And so we have to learn to respect that. We have to learn to engage with that. We have to learn to create an ecosystem that fosters that bottoms-up activity for this to happen.
And last and not the least, the good news is that for three years we've been talking about saying hey, we should be really worried. We should be worried that we can either become the tech colony of the US or a trade colony of China in this month. This is the second time I have to spend the whole week here. Two weeks ago I came for a day, I had to spend the whole week. This time I came on Tuesday and I'm going back today on Saturday. A whole week. Because now the elites are saying, Sharad, you are wrong. This is not A or B, A and B. You agree with me. This is a scary, scary time and this is the reality that we have to face.
And I'll conclude with this that we as we look at this just, just the way you know, and these concepts are nuanced concepts we talk about DPI. DPI is not open source. All open source is not DPI. All DPI is not open source. All government tech is not DPI. All DPI is not government tech. They're related concepts. So the path, economic path that we have to follow is not the Swadeshi path, old Swadeshi. Because we can't bring all of the value chain in India, we can only bring the strategic part of the value chain in India. Second, it can't be the GCC part. We can't say we will have sovereignty because every foreign company brings their value chain to India and has a GCC center doing it here.
Don't mind my saying that but that we can't do quantum here with all the IBMs. We need local players to be able to do that. We have to steal the Venkatas from here and turn them into entrepreneurs and into working for Indian companies. That's what we have to do. And it's happening. His colleague is, you know, a friend of mine, Krishna Pelham, who is running one of our prominent startups, quantum startups in the country. So we have to do that.
So we have to give up on this over-reliance on GCCs we have to give up this over-reliance on Swaraj. And we have to give a name to this new path that we have, new playbook that we need as we go forward. And I hope we are able to do that without a punch in our stomach. And I'm cautiously optimistic that we can. Why? Because we have good leadership as has been pointed out. And, and that's the reason Sameer has written this book. Because embodied in him is in Modiji. I think his biggest contribution, lasting contribution for India would be he has closed the aspiration deficit that we've carried for so many years. He has given all of us the permission to dream big. To say let's be a developed country by 2047.
And the moment we give ourselves, we are a civilizational state. And the moment we give ourselves the permission to dream big, many forces of change unwind. And we have to allow this change to happen. We have to embrace a new path. We have to unlearn our old ways of doing things, especially Delhi's ways of doing things. Things siloed culture, bureaucratic culture, emphasis on air, game over, the ground game. These are all things that we have to unlearn. And if we do, then there is a chance that we would be able to get to where we want to be without a punch in our stomach.
Thank you so much.